Archive for the ‘Fantasy Football’ Category

Unstoppable TEBOW!!!

Posted: October 23, 2011 in Fantasy Football

Even John Fox couldnt stop him. Down 15-0 in the fourth quarter, they were forced to let him throw and Tebow took his boys town the field TWICE  and ran in a two-point conversion to send it to overtime and Matt Prater hit a 52 yard field goal to win.

You can’t stop the TEBOW!

Tebow Handcuffed

Posted: October 23, 2011 in Fantasy Football

I didnt believe experts who speculated the Broncos want Tim Tebow to fail so they can tell the fans “we told you so.” But after watching three quarters of the Broncos/Dolphins game, I believe it. They have absolutely handcuffed Tebow, allowing him to throw only eight times so far in the game. I’m very disappointed.

Miami is stacking the box because John Fox has shown no interest in throwing the ball, and continues to call running plays up the middle, they continue to get stuffed and people are wondering why they can’t move the ball. If Denver goes on to lose today, it won’t be because of Tim Tebow, it will be because of John Fox.

They don’t even look like they’re TRYING to move the ball. Dolphins have eight or nine in the box and its three runs right up the middle and out.

Q&A

Posted: October 21, 2011 in Fantasy Football

I apologize for being a day late on this. Work has been hectic. But let’s dive right in.

Fantasy X-Man,

What does the departure of Brandon Lloyd do to the Broncos offense as a whole? -Roger, Texas

Roger,

I think we will see this week. I want to see Tebow throw to Eric Decker, Eddie Royal and Demaryius Thomas before I say the departure of Lloyd kills the passing game. I think we might be surprised.

Fantasy X-Man,

Who would be your top 5 overall if you were drafting today? -Alexis, Colorado

Alexis,

Adrian Peterson would still be my #1. I’d probably have Ray Rice, Darren McFadden, Calvin Johnson and I’d have to put Aaron Rodgers #5. CJ and Rodgers have just been so far ahead of anyone else at their positions, I think Arian Foster would be in the discussion.

Fantasy X-Man,

I’m sure you’re getting this question a lot, but where do you rank Carson Palmer? -Jason, Oakland

Jason,

If I was ranking QBs, now that we know he is starting this week, I’d say between 15 and 20th. He has a bye week next week, so I think he’s closer to 15th after the bye and closer to 20th (if not lower) this week. I see him pretty close to Jason Campbell’s value before the injury.

Fantasy X-Man,

What do you make of Christian Ponder? -Tyrone, Whyoming

Tyrone,

I think his starting helps Adrian Peterson (as if he needed help). Ponder would do well to spend a lot of time handing off this week. That being said, Ponder should learn from McNabb’s mistake and get Percy Harvin involved much more heavily. There’s playmakers on that team if they get the ball to them.

Fantasy X-Man,

Baseball question if you dont mind? Where do you see Pujols and Fielder landing and what does it do for their fantasy value? -Kaleb, Michigan

Kaleb,

They are both top-15 overall picks in my book no matter what. I still think Pujols stays in town. If not, I’m looking at the Cubs, Angels and Yankees as front-runners. I’d say those same teams if Pujols stays in St. Louis.

Fantasy X-Man,

Can you think to baseball for a second and tell me who will be your top player at each position next preseason? -Frank, Florida

Frank,

I won’t commit to my preseason 2012 rankings, but I’ll say off hand I’d expect to have Carlos Santana, Adrian Gonzalez, Robinson Cano, Troy Tulowitzki, Jose Bautista, Matt Kemp or Ryan Braun in the OF, Justin Verlander as my top starter and Craig Kimbrel as my top reliever. (Side note, keep a close eye on Aroldis Chapman, Neftali Feliz and Chris Sale and their roles. If they’re starters, they’re more valuable.)

Fantasy X-Man,

You traded Stafford for Smith. But you say Stafford is legit and you still warn about Cam Newton. Can you explain the thinking a little more? -Marciello, Los Angeles

Marciello,

I hated making that deal because it was pretty even and I like to be handily winning trades. But with Tebow starting in Denver, I had a capable backup for Aaron Rodgers. I was unlikely to use Stafford for more than that one week anyway. And my receivers were a hole in the lineup all year. I was winning because of Rodgers and my backs. But all three of them have bye weeks coming (Fred Jackson this week) and I needed to get production from the receivers to survive. While Newton may have his ups and downs, you can bet Smith will stay one of the most targeted receivers in football. Add to that the Panthers lack of running game and I dont see catastrophic downside.

Fantasy X-Man,

How do you feel about the ESPN fantasy writers? -Richard, Oklahoma

Richard,

I read their work often. Some I agree with, a lot I don’t, but their statistical analysis is especially useful. I tend to agree with Karabell most of the group. Berry is more entertaining than informational, but they’re a good group overall. By the way, I’d encourage you to vote for their Fantasy Focus Podcast in the upcoming podcast awards. It’s pretty good.


Fantasy X-Man,

Would you trade for Cam Newton right now or be trading him away? -Rebecca, Kansas

Rebecca,

Yes. That’s the short answer. Would I trade for Newton if I was giving away Carson Palmer for him? Yes. Would I trade him away if I was getting Aaron Rodgers? Yes. It’s all about value. I wouldn’t send him away cheap. Think borderline top-5 QB, so I’d expect a top-10 player at another position for him, minimum.

Fantasy X-Man,

I took your advice and made sure I got elite QB and TE in every league. I drafted either Antonio Gates or Dallas Clark in all three. I got Peyton Manning in two and Tony Romo in the other. Thanks. -Glenn, Minnesota

Well Glenn,

I’m sorry about those injury problems. I make projections and rankings based on expectations and even with the foot, Gates was the best TE by far when he played last year. And Manning hasn’t missed a game since his rookie year. That’s unpredictable. For the record, I drafted Clark in two leagues as well, so I feel your pain, but at least he scored last week.

Fantasy X-Man,

Over/under 10 TDs for Mendenhall rest of season? Also, Chris Johnson ends up a top __ RB this year? And Jamaal Charles is a top __ RB in your 2012 preseason rankings? -Timothy, Puerto Rico

Timothy,

Under on Rashard, but I think he looks a lot better and should be very good going forward. If you can still buy low, do it. For Johnson, I’d say between 12 and 15. For Charles, as I said before, I won’t commit to 2012 ranking spots, but if I had to guess I’d say he’ll be at the back end of the top 20 RB, around 17 or 18 maybe. I expect Charles to be 75-80% next year and not be 100% until late 2012 or into 2013.

That’s all for now guys. Thanks for all the questions. Good luck this week.

Snakes and Ladders, Week 6

Posted: October 19, 2011 in Fantasy Football

You know the deal so let’s dive right in.

LADDER- Tim Tebow… I know, you’re tired of hearing about him, but I love him.

SNAKE- Brandon Marshall is enjoying a ton of targets, but Matt Moore has become predictable, throwing to him incessantly, and it makes the defense’s job easy. He’s dropped to the borderline top-20 class, and could fall farther if the coming weeks see more of the same.

LADDER- Pierre Garcon is the man in Indy now and he should be owned across the board, and started in most leagues. He’s a top-25 WR in my book, with top-15 or so upside.

SNAKE- Peyton Hillis may or may not play this week, but I had Montario Hardesty as a sleeper before the season because I think Hillis will wear down (as he already is) and Hardesty will actually score MORE than Hillis from around week 8 or 9 to the end.

LADDER- Carson Palmer is the new starting QB in Oakland. He wouldn’t rank in my top-15 of passers if I was ranking them this week. It might bring a slight improvement to the Oakland offense, but we need to see which receiver he bonds with. As with the Colts QB change swapping Reggie Wayne and Pierre Garcon, we don’t know which guy Palmer will throw to.

SNAKE- Jermichael Finley isn’t getting regular looks in the high-flying Packers offense. He’s a red zone guy, and is probably still among the top five or so tight ends to own, but he might be more boom or bust than the weekly 10-15 points you hoped for.

LADDER- Eric Decker, Eddie Royal, Demaryius Thomas… With Brandon Lloyd playing for the Rams, there is room at the top. That’s the order I think they will end up in, but Tebow could fall in love with one and make that guy his go-to-guy and it could be any of them. I think Thomas has the most upside, but Decker would be the one to play right now.

SNAKE- Steve Smith (CAR)… only because I just traded for him, so those guys tend to fall off the map pretty soon after I hit the “accept” button. You’ve been warned.

LADDER- Sam Bradford gets a real #1 target in Lloyd. He’s better than he’s played to this point, so there might be some buy-low value in deeper leagues here.

SNAKE- Cedric Benson will serve a one-game suspension, which also leaves the door open for…

LADDER- Bernard Scott to earn a permanent split of the carries. Benson is one of the worst full-time runners in football, so if Scott shows some explosiveness in his start, there’s reason to think he could maintain a significant role in the offense.

That’s all for now. Keep sending in your questions and I’ll put up a new Q&A tomorrow.

Walking the Walk- TRADE!

Posted: October 19, 2011 in Fantasy Football

And just like that, I traded Matthew Stafford for Steve Smith (CAR). I don’t like it, but it makes complete sense. I have Aaron Rodgers dominating, and Tim Tebow to start on his bye week. Meanwhile, I needed help at receiver. Stafford was scoring well, but on my bench, and little chance of coming off. I don’t think Smith will be a top-5 receiver all year, but I think, even if he ends up between 10-15, he produces every week because Newton LOVES him.

This trade bugs me because its fair. Its pretty even, and I hate even trades. Most of the deals I agree are ones in which I feel confident I’m winning, but this was a case where our needs matched up and we could help each other.

I dropped the Bengals DST for the Chargers as well. And there’s still a chance I start Malcom Floyd over Jacoby Jones. But for now, I’m 5-1 and my lineup for week 7 looks like this:

QB- Aaron Rodgers
RB- Adrian Peterson
RB- Ben Tate (Fred Jackson on BYE)
RB/WR- Jacoby Jones (Mario Manningham on BYE)
WR- Steve Smith
WR- Dez Bryant
WR- Pierre Garcon
TE- Dallas Clark
DST- Chargers
K- Adam Viniateri

Bench- Jackson (bye), Manningham (bye), CJ Spiller (bye), Brandon Jacobs (bye), Tim Tebow, Malcom Floyd

Brandon Lloyd to Rams

Posted: October 18, 2011 in Fantasy Football

Who else can catch the ball there? The draft pick sent to Denver becomes a 5th round pick if he catches 30+ passes the rest of the season. I don’t see how he DOESN’T. I don’t think this helps (or hurts) his value much, as he was the go-to-guy in Denver as well. It helps Sam Bradford a little bit and it hurts Tim Tebow a little bit. But I like the move for both teams. The Broncos have some young, talented receivers and they need to know what exactly they have before using what looks to be a very high 2012 draft position.

The biggest gainers from the trade are probably Eric Decker, Eddie Royal and Demaryius Thomas. I like Thomas as a deep sleeper for the rest of the season. Lloyd is still a borderline top-15 receiver in my book. He has potential to be top-10 some weeks, but Bradford isn’t great, and if Steven Jackson is healthy, he’s still the main offense in St. Louis.

This one wasn’t close. Aaron Rodgers, Fred Jackson and my Bengals DST scored enough to win it themselves. It was nice to get 21 from Jacoby Jones. Although Pierre Garcon only scored eight, he was still the most targeted Colts receiver. I also enjoyed seeing Dallas Clark finally make some noise. My opponent caught several bad breaks. Joseph Addai didn’t play, Vincent Jackson and Mike Williams were both on bye weeks, leaving him an empty WR slot. I won 186-98 improving to 5-1 this season.

With more injuries to quarterbacks, the market for Matthew Stafford is heating up. I’ve got one very interesting offer than I’m still considering in my mind. Now that Tim Tebow is the starter in Denver, I have a capable backup for Rodgers, so Stafford is even more tradeable. And my receiving group is still not stellar. Right now I’m winning games because of Rodgers, Jackson and Adrian Peterson, who actually had a bad week, but by Sunday night it didn’t matter. This might be the week to deal Stafford. We will see.

I have Jackson and Mario Manningham on byes, so Ben Tate will start as my second RB and Malcom Floyd will go into the flex spot for now. The Bengals served me well for two weeks, but with their bye coming, I will drop them for someone else. I never own two defenses at a time. I have placed bids for Dallas and San Diego, both $1 bids, so we will see which I get.